By Eric Hough In 2008, Warren Buffett made his famous charitable wager against Ted Seides that hedge funds and active management would underperform Jack Bogle’s passive S&P 500 index. The ending is well known, the passive index won by roughly 500bps annualized. I still remember thinking in the early 2010s, what would happen if one day the market woke up, …
It’s the End of the World as We Know It (and I Feel Fine)
By Eric Parnell “Team by team reporters, baffled, trumped, tethered, cropped Look at that low playing, fine, then” –It’s the End of the World as We Know It (and I Feel Fine), R.E.M., 1987 Coming in a hurry with the Furies breathing down your neck. Last week, I submitted an article discussing the potentially overlooked downside risks confronting investors as …
Trouble
By Eric Parnell “Trouble, Trouble, trouble, trouble, trouble, Trouble been doggin’ my soul Since the day I was born Worry, Worry, worry, worry, worry, Worry just will not seem to leave, My mind alone” –Trouble, Ray LaMontagne, 2003 Trouble is building on the horizon for capital markets. Now I should preface everything that comes after with the following caveats. The …
A Fractured AI Trade
By Evan Coffey It’s worth asking what a good quarter is actually worth right now when assessing the AI trade. Nvidia reported earnings that handily beat expectations, results strong enough to make technology the only S&P 500 sector to close higher that day, up 3.16%. By that measure, a good quarter still moves markets. But that strength hasn’t been showing …




